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UFC on Fuel TV 9 Coverage: The Odds & Smart Bets

courtesy of mmaweekly.com

The UFC makes a return to Stockholm, Sweden with a Fuel card headlined by th late replacement, Sweden’s own, Ilir Latifi; a training partner of Alexander Gustafsson, against Dream and former Strikeforce champion Gegard Mousasi. This event is stacked with underdogs and good odds, so pay attention!

Let’s start off with the odds for every fight on the event. As you can tell, the card lacks star power, but I think there will be some REALLY exciting fights. Here are the odds according to my favorite fantasy betting website MMAPlayground.com

*Note: Due to the recent cancellation of the Mousasi vs. Gustafsson match up, the Mousasi vs. Latifi odds are still to be announced.

Ryan Couture +245
Ross Pearson -265

Phillip De Fries +380
Matt Mitrione -430

Mike Easton +140
Brad Pickett -160

Pablo Garza +100
Diego Brandao -110

Akira Corassani +325
Robert Peralta -345

Reza Madadi +215
Michael Johnson -240

Adam Cella +310
Tor Troeng -330

Chris Spang +340
Adlan Amagov -400

Conor McGregor +100
Marcus Brimage -110

Ryan LaFlare -125
Ben Alloway -100

Michael Kuiper +195
Tom Lawlor -230

Besam Yousef +225
Papy Abdi -255

Smart Bets:

Michael Kuiper over Tom Lawlor

When you look at these two, I’m shocked that Lawlor is the favorite in this fight. Lawlor is 2-3 in his last 5 fights and is coming off of a loss to Francis Carmont via split decision. Kuiper on the other hand is coming off of a KO victory over Jared Hamman after dropping his debut fight against Rafael Natal. Kuiper has also finished all but one of his 12 victories by way of strikes or submission, while half of Lawlor’s fights in the UFC has gone the distance. Kuiper is a golden opportunity to make some bank.

Chris Spang over Adlan Amagov

Both fighters are making their UFC debuts in this fight, so I’m very surprised to see the odds sway heavily towards Amagov. I think that’s just because he’s fought the stiffer competition. Amagov went 3-1 in Strikeforce, his only loss being to Robbie Lawler via KO. Spang on the other hand went 2-1 in Strikeforce, his only loss being to Ricky Legere via decision. Spang does not have as much professional MMA experience as Amagov, and definitely does have the credentials that Amagov has, but he’s still a very dangerous fighter. Both of these guys have power on their feet, and could very well slug it out till someone drops; if that’s the case, I’d favor Spang as he has pro-boxing experience and is more technical.

Adam Cella over Tor Troeng

Another fight that has me scratching my head. We got to see both of these guys in The Ultimate Fighter, and if you want to base eachother off their fights in TUF (being as it’s the most recent), you’d have to give Cella the edge. Not only was Cella fighting the ultra-talented and feared Uriah Hall, but he atleast survived the first round and even had his moments of upbringing. Tor seemed a little sloppy and slow in the Octagon, and against a pressure fighter like Cella; that’s not going to be good for him. Cella is a good bet, despite the critics.

My Parlay:

Ross Pearson -265
Adlan Amagov -400
Adam Cella +310

This is a fairly safe parlay. You have Ross Pearson, an undeniable favorite in this bout; he’s coming off of an impressive return to 155 when he TKO’d George Sotiropoulos, against Strikeforce up n’ comer Ryan Couture. Couture is coming off of two straight split decision victories over K.J Noons and Joe Duarte in Strikeforce. Adlan Amagov, a heavy favorite against European striker Chris Spang; I think Amagov will win this fight if he decides to use his grappling skills, if not, Spang could very well outstrike him. Also, Adam Cella, we covered why he makes a solid pick at +310.

That’s all for the Odds & Smart Bets! Stay tuned for more coverage, thanks for reading.
-Hodgi

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